Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 0
Lens

Boulaya (15'), de Preville (19'), Sarr (43'), Kouyate (78'), N'Doram (89')

Sotoca (58'), Danso (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

It is extremely difficult to predict where the goals may come from in the Metz side while Niane remains out of favour, although Lens were not exactly clinical last weekend either. Sang et Or's inability to keep things watertight at the back does spell optimism for Les Grenats, but Haise's side will view this encounter as the ideal opportunity to regain a measure of confidence and keep the pressure on the European pack, so we are backing them to do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lens
22.93%	25.01%	52.05%

Both teams to score 49.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.46%

52.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.8%

74.2%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15%

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38%

74.62%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82%

20.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53%

52.47%

Score Analysis

Metz 22.93%

Lens 52.05%

Draw 25%

Metz	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.93%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 12.22% 0-2 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-3 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 5.07% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 52.05%