Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
39.31% | 28.47% | 32.22% |
Both teams to score 45.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.71% | 60.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.54% | 80.46% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% | 29.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% | 65.95% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |