Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens1 - 0St Etienne
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: St Etienne 1-6 PSG
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Lens 2-1 Saint-Etienne
Lens have been poor overall in 2025, but their ambitions are on the line this weekend, and they will feel confident of taking all three points against one of the division's relegation candidates. That being said, St Etienne have improved on the road in recent weeks, and given that they scored in each of their last six matches, they could make this game a close-fought contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
69.81% ( 0.08) | 18.27% ( 0.01) | 11.92% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( -0.27) | 42.36% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( -0.27) | 64.76% ( 0.28) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( -0.05) | 10.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.79% ( -0.12) | 35.21% ( 0.13) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.32) | 45.48% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.69% ( -0.26) | 81.31% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 69.8%
Saint-Etienne 11.92%
Draw 18.27%
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.84% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.27% | 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.92% |
How you voted: Lens vs St Etienne
Lens
90.5%Draw
0.0%Saint-Etienne
9.5%21
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 6pm
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
St Etienne
2-3
Lens
Oct 3, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
2-0
St Etienne
