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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Reims
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
3 - 4
Le Havre

El Aynaoui (3' pen.), Aguilar (19'), Sotoca (48')
Aguilar (34'), Said (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Soumare (28'), Ayew (33'), Casimir (62'), Mahgoub (90+1' pen.)
Toure (22'), Mahgoub (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Lens
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse
Sunday, February 23 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 0-0 Le Havre

 Lens' season is falling apart after a dreadful run of form has seen them drop out of the European places entirely, and a feeble attack that has netted a meagre 26 goals this season is struggling to turn games in their favour. Likewise, Le Havre have scored just 19 goals, and have also lost eight of the last 11, but they have won 11 of their 17 points on the road this season, and are unbeaten in three away games, giving them the chance to make it four for the first time in over two decades. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (6.13%).

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
58.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 23.02% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 18.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.53% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.8% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)78.34% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 58.95%
    Le Havre 18.03%
    Draw 23.01%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Le Havre
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 17
Le Havre
1-2
Lens
Ayew (8')
Ayew (34'), Youte Kinkoue (62')
Koyalipou (28'), Machado (77')
Thomasson (13'), Koffi (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Lens
1-1
Le Havre
Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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