Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Saint-Etienne 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain
Even with some rotation, this should be a stroll for the league leaders, who have swept aside all who have come before them in 2025, and they will be keeping an eye on other results to see whether they are crowned champions this weekend. Saint-Etienne will put up a fight, but manager Horneland may already be looking ahead to next week's clash with Lens, which will offer a much greater chance of some much-needed points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
8.13% ( -0.13) | 12.77% ( -0.08) | 79.09% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.05) | 26.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.06) | 47.25% ( 0.06) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% ( -0.33) | 41.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.29) | 78.28% ( 0.28) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.67% ( 0.02) | 5.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.06% ( 0.07) | 20.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 8.13% | 1-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77% | 0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 9.36% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.87% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 5.34% Total : 79.09% |
