Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Lille2 - 1Brest
We said: Lille 2-0 Brest
Given the level of disappointment last weekend, it remains to be seen how Lille will react to having gone so close to causing the upset in Paris. Nevertheless, boasting a strong home record in comparison to Brest's poor efforts on the road, this should prove to be a comfortable evening for Fonseca's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Brest had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
71.2% ( -0) | 17.81% ( 0.01) | 10.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
