MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:54:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
3 - 0
Brest

Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
Leroy (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lemarechal (74'), Lala (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest

Although Brest have drawn four of their last five games, they will be confident of dispatching Montpellier, having crushed Angers 4-0 at the end of January. By contrast, Montpellier have lost six of their previous seven matches across all competitions, so the hosts look set to suffer another defeat at the hands of the resurgent Pirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
29.54% (-0.641 -0.64) 26.9% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 43.55% (0.565 0.57)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.548 -0.55)55.4% (0.548 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (-0.451 -0.45)76.6% (0.453 0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.761 -0.76)33.83% (0.762 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.834 -0.83)70.5% (0.836 0.84)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.055 0.05)59.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 29.54%
    Brest 43.55%
    Draw 26.9%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.54%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 11.75% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.55%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
27.3%
Draw
32.7%
Brest
40.0%
55
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
Dec 11, 2021 4pm
Brest
0-4
Montpellier

Herelle (62'), Magnetti (84')
Wahi (45+1'), Mavididi (47'), Sambia (60'), Germain (85')
Ferri (89')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Brest
2-2
Montpellier
Philippoteaux (58'), Chardonnet (79')
Chardonnet (45+2'), Herelle (51')
Laborde (45+1'), Delort (82')
Chotard (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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