Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
1 - 1
Brest

Aboukhlal (65')
Dejaegere (42'), Rouault (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mounie (18')
Brassier (37'), Lees-Melou (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Lille
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Brest are yet to concede in either of their two matches since Roy's managerial appointment, we are struggling to see beyond the hosts winning this match quite comfortably in the end. Toulouse have bagged 14 goals across their last three victories, and while that type of rate may prove unsustainable, they are definitely capable of securing a third successive league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Brest
52.17% ( -0.49)	23.81% ( 0.17)	24.02% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.41)

46.58% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.39)

68.85% (

0.39)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.33)

17.84% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

-0.59)

48.59% (

0.59)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

0.06)

33.57% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

0.06)

70.21% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 52.17%

Brest 24.02%

Draw 23.8%

Toulouse	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.17%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.02%