Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Toulouse

Yoro (30')
Bentaleb (38'), David (47'), Alexsandro (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dallinga (65')
Spierings (62'), Dallinga (82'), Nicolaisen (90+2'), Cissoko (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Lille
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite Toulouse's win over Liverpool, Lille's impressive home form — and their continued adeptness at keeping clean sheets in front of their fans — could swing Sunday's game in favour of Fonseca's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Toulouse
62.9% ( -0.19)	20.31% ( 0.1)	16.79% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

-0.3)

40.94% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

-0.31)

63.33% (

0.31)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.14)

12.43% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

-0.31)

38.34% (

0.31)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

-0.08)

37.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

-0.07)

74.43% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lille 62.89%

Toulouse 16.79%

Draw 20.31%

Lille	Draw	Toulouse
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.89%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.31%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.79%