Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 0
Brest

Diallo (27'), El Idrissy (68')
Touzghar (66')

Mounie (29'), Camara (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Nice
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio very rarely win or score anywhere at the moment, especially at home, and another defeat to a relegation rival will surely seal their fate. In good form, Brest will see this as a great opportunity to pick up another three points against a side hopelessly out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Brest
33.34% ( -0.18)	28.89% ( -0.06)	37.76% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 45% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.41% (

0.16)

61.59% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

0.12)

81.43% (

-0.12)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

-0.04)

34.35% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.04)

71.05% (

0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55% (

0.22)

31.44% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17% (

0.26)

67.82% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 33.33%

Brest 37.76%

Draw 28.89%

Ajaccio	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.33%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.76%