Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Dijon |
40.31% | 28.7% | 31% |
Both teams to score 44.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% | 61.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.75% | 81.25% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% | 65.88% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% | 35.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% | 72.69% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.99% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |