Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Nice had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.