Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Auguste Delaune

Reims
4 - 0
Troyes

Munetsi (10'), Maolida (44'), Balogun (50'), Cajuste (82')
Flips (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer-Brown (43'), Agoume (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given how poor defensively Troyes have looked in recent games, having to contend with an in-form striker like Balogun is probably the last thing they need right now. Outside of Balogun, Reims have not been particularly sharp in the attacking third, but they look far more comfortable along the backline than ESTAC and should not have much difficulty containing that attacking line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Troyes
58.47% ( -0.7)	22.39% ( 0.19)	19.13% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.65% (

-0.08)

46.35% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36% (

-0.07)

68.63% (

0.07)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

-0.26)

15.53% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.54% (

-0.48)

44.45% (

0.48)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

0.51)

38.18% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

0.49)

74.94% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Reims 58.46%

Troyes 19.13%

Draw 22.39%

Reims	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.46%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.13%