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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Nice

Lyon
1 - 0
Nice

Mangala (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndayishimiye (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Nice

 With both Lyon and Nice being forced to cope without one of their key centre-backs on Friday evening, both sets of attackers may be licking their lips, especially with the visitors not as tough a nut to crack as they once were and flattering to deceive on their travels. Les Aiglons are in the podium positions for a reason, though, and while Lyon's revival means that the momentum may be with Sage's men, they will likely be forced to settle for a share of the points this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
32.28% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 25.32% (0.0030000000000001 0) 42.4% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.020000000000003 0.02)63.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)22.54% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)56.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 32.28%
    Nice 42.4%
    Draw 25.32%
LyonDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
45.8%
Draw
32.1%
Nice
22.1%
131
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
0-0
Lyon
Ndayishimiye (32')
Tagliafico (90'), Caleta-Car (90+2'), Alvero (90+5'), Alvero (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nice
3-1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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