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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lyon

Lens
3 - 2
Lyon

Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Brien (15', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Lyon

 As bad as it was for them at Arsenal this week, Lens have shown the ability to pick themselves up after a disappointing result, while their defensive shape has improved tremendously versus French opponents. There have been a few positive takeaways for Lyon in recent matches, but not enough for us to believe their attacking quality has improved, with Les Gones tied for the fewest goals scored in Ligue 1 to date (nine). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLyon
49.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 24.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)51.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)33.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.97%
    Lyon 25.34%
    Draw 24.67%
LensDrawLyon
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%

How you voted: Lens vs Lyon

Lens
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (65')
Fortes (6'), Sotoca (70'), Michelin (87')
Paqueta (81')
Guimaraes (7'), Depay (48'), De Sciglio (79')
Slimani (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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