Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 8, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
3 - 3
Lille

Centonze (31', 52'), Udol (41')
Bronn (56')
Kouyate (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Botman (23'), Ikone (81'), Yilmaz (90+6')
Ikone (79'), Yilmaz (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lille
31.39%	27.95%	40.65%

Both teams to score 47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.33%

58.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.79%

79.21%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81%

34.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12%

70.88%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.03%

Score Analysis

Metz 31.39%

Lille 40.65%

Draw 27.94%

Metz	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.39%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.65%