Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
35.16% | 26.4% | 38.44% |
Both teams to score 52.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% | 51.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% | 64.03% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% | 26.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% | 61.55% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |