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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Montpellier

Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

 Montpellier have had their struggles defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in three of their domestic road fixtures this season. As poor as Les Monegasques were defensively last Friday, we expect their quality attacking players to take their frustrations out on La Paillade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
58.1% (0.882 0.88) 21.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 20.68% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (1.365 1.37)38.86% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (1.422 1.42)61.18% (-1.421 -1.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.71499999999999 0.71)13.16% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.428 1.43)39.85% (-1.428 -1.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.351 0.35)32.29% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.395 0.4)68.79% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.1%
    Montpellier HSC 20.68%
    Draw 21.22%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 3% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
90.9%
Draw
6.1%
Montpellier HSC
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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