Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Dijon |
47.57% | 27.34% | 25.1% |
Both teams to score 45.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.68% | 59.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.28% | 79.71% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% | 25.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% | 59.69% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% | 39.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% | 76.32% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |