Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.1) | 27.88% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.49) | 49.53% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.44) | 71.56% ( -0.44) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% ( 0.19) | 21.13% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( 0.29) | 53.98% ( -0.29) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% ( 0.36) | 32.02% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.41) | 68.48% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |