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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Marseille

Lens
1 - 0
Marseille

Gradit (90')
Gradit (44'), Abdul Samed (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lodi (37'), Oliveira (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-2 Marseille
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 1-1 Marseille

Both sides have shown pragmatic approaches to get results in recent weeks, as defensive solidity has been the backbone of Haise's success at Lens. It will be a tough place to come to end Marseille's winless away run, and that is set to continue, but the spoils may well be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawMarseille
46.91% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 25.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 27.88% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.489 0.49)49.53% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.437 0.44)71.56% (-0.438 -0.44)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.185 0.19)21.13% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.287 0.29)53.98% (-0.286 -0.29)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.36 0.36)32.02% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.407 0.41)68.48% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Lens 46.91%
    Marseille 27.88%
    Draw 25.2%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens
51.4%
Draw
31.4%
Marseille
17.1%
35
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lens
2-1
Marseille
Fofana (42'), Openda (60')
Payet (88')
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
0-1
Lens
Costa (78')
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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