Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.1) | 27.88% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.49) | 49.53% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.44) | 71.56% ( -0.44) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% ( 0.19) | 21.13% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( 0.29) | 53.98% ( -0.29) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% ( 0.36) | 32.02% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.41) | 68.48% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |