MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:09:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Toulouse

Nice
1 - 0
Toulouse

Moffi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casseres Jr (33'), Bangre (81'), Desler (83'), Gelabert (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Toulouse

Forced to work without the suspended Dallinga and injured Aboukhlal, Toulouse's chances of breaching a near-impenetrable Nice backline are wafer-thin, and Martinez's men could learn a thing or two about rearguard mastery from their upcoming opponents. For all of the hosts' remarkable work at the back, 13 goals at the correct end of the field is still the worst record in the top four, so only a solitary strike may separate the sides on Sunday as Nice extend their unbeaten record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawToulouse
56.16% (0.15499999999999 0.15) 23.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.9% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)51.63% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.134 -0.13)73.42% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74%49.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.247 -0.25)40.41% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.226 -0.23)77.02% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.15%
    Toulouse 19.9%
    Draw 23.93%
NiceDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Nice vs Toulouse

Nice
83.8%
Draw
10.8%
Toulouse
5.4%
37
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Nice
0-0
Toulouse
Beka Beka (32'), Moffi (72')
Nicolaisen (23'), Spierings (90+3')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 1
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Dallinga (20')
Keben (86')
Ramsey (78')
Rosario (63'), Dante (65')
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
0-2
Nice

Gradel (58'), Sangare (83')
Gabrielsen (27'), Moreira (77')
Lees-Melou (12'), Herelle (90')
Dec 21, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nice
3-0
Toulouse
Sarr (16'), Boudaoui (19'), Lees-Melou (40')
Boudaoui (25')

Kone (7'), Sangare (37'), Isimat-Mirin (53'), Adli (89')
Mar 15, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 29
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Cyprien (20')
Mubele (88')
Sylla (24'), Gradel (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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