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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lyon

Nice
3 - 1
Lyon

Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Lyon

 Lyon have been one of the best sides in France during 2023, and even though they will fancy their chances to win here, it will surely not be enough to claim a spot in Europe. Despite a run of five wins in their last seven home league games against Lyon, Nice face a very in-form outfit, determined to finish the season strongly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
37.81% (0.367 0.37) 26.05% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 36.14% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.19 0.19)50.39% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.169 0.17)72.33% (-0.175 -0.17)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.294 0.29)26% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.397 0.4)61.02% (-0.403 -0.4)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)26.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.127 -0.13)62.29% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nice 37.81%
    Lyon 36.14%
    Draw 26.04%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
20.0%
Draw
22.9%
Lyon
57.1%
35
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 16
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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