Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.