Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
26.41% ( 0.13) | 25.51% ( -0.08) | 48.08% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% ( 0.41) | 51.68% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% ( 0.35) | 73.46% ( -0.35) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% ( 0.33) | 34.31% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% ( 0.35) | 71.01% ( -0.35) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( 0.15) | 21.51% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% ( 0.22) | 54.56% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |