Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
42.78% ( -0.42) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 32.71% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( -0.15) | 44.18% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.15) | 66.56% ( 0.15) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( -0.25) | 20.76% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( -0.4) | 53.39% ( 0.41) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( 0.15) | 26.04% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( 0.2) | 61.07% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |