Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
50.49% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0) | 25.5% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( 0.13) | 46.1% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( 0.12) | 68.4% ( -0.12) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( -0.02) | 18.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( -0.03) | 49.38% ( 0.03) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% ( 0.21) | 32.07% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( 0.24) | 68.54% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |