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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
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Strasbourg
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Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Marseille

Brest
1 - 4
Marseille

Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's recent Conference League exertions and sticky patch of league form will play right into Brest's hands, but the hosts have very little to fight for in the final months of the season. Sampaoli possesses plenty of talented options on the bench ready to make an impact, and with a penchant for victories away from home, Les Olympiens can use their wealth of firepower to edge a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
24.63%24.02%51.34%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15%69.85%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Brest 24.64%
    Marseille 51.34%
    Draw 24.02%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.34%

How you voted: Brest vs Marseille

Brest
14.8%
Draw
7.4%
Marseille
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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