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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
NY City

Herbers (75')
Pineda (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (39')
Pellegrini (44'), Jasson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 NY City
Saturday, February 25 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New York City FC

 With there being so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline. Nick Cushing's side should have an easier time containing the Chicago Fire attack rather than Nashville's, but New York have fired blanks in their past two matches, suggesting that they do not have the firepower to take all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
39.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)52.46% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)74.13% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.058000000000007 0.06)26.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.078000000000003 0.08)61.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.16%
    New York City FC 34.34%
    Draw 26.49%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
New York City FC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
NY City

Czichos (18'), Teran (60'), Navarro (77')
Pereira (16'), Rodriguez (46')
Rodriguez (72')
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

Pineda (32')
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City

Kappelhof (90')

Parks (42'), Tajouri (84')
Parks (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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