Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match.
