Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.