Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | CF Montreal | 18 | -1 | 29 |
5 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 2 | 25 |
6 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 19 | 16 | 33 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
31.47% ( -0.12) | 26.32% ( 0.66) | 42.2% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% ( -2.77) | 52.43% ( 2.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( -2.43) | 74.11% ( 2.43) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( -1.48) | 30.92% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( -1.77) | 67.21% ( 1.77) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -1.49) | 24.6% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% ( -2.13) | 59.1% ( 2.13) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |