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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Orlando City
0 - 0
Cincinnati


Cartagena (27')
FT

Santos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 FC Cincinnati

 Saturday's match should be a closely-fought encounter between two teams of similar standing. Orlando's terrific home form and Cincinnati's momentum from last season suggest that a high-scoring draw is a likely outcome.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
54.64% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 22.33% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 23.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.284 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.36 -0.36)41.04% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.367 -0.37)63.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)14.97% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.265 -0.27)43.4% (0.259 0.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.224 -0.22)31.39% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.259 -0.26)67.76% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.64%
    FC Cincinnati 23.03%
    Draw 22.33%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-0
Orlando City
Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')

Smith (72')
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Bailey (80'), Cameron (86')
Urso (13')
Carlos (66'), Perea (74')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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