Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.