Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.