Kansas2 - 1Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes
With both teams yet to win in MLS this season, we expect to see a nervy and potentially cagey encounter play out in Kansas on Sunday. However, the hosts have not fallen behind yet this season, going on to draw all three matches. We can envisage them holding onto a narrow lead this time around, which would make it four defeats from four for San Jose. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
53.06% ( -0.57) | 23.77% ( 0.13) | 23.17% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.08) | 47.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.08) | 69.5% ( 0.07) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.24) | 17.76% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.42) | 48.46% ( 0.42) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( 0.36) | 34.7% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.38) | 71.43% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.17% |
