Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
53.06% (![]() | 23.77% (![]() | 23.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% (![]() | 47.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% (![]() | 69.5% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% (![]() | 17.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% (![]() | 48.46% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.29% (![]() | 34.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.56% (![]() | 71.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 10.65% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.52% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Orlando City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Toronto | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
2 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
5 | Portland TimbersPortland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Dallas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
8 | St Louis City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
12 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 2 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |