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Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Kansas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Rosero (18'), Pulido (29')
Rosero (35'), Salloi (82'), Thommy (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Costa (11')
Bouda (66'), Espinoza (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes

 With both teams yet to win in MLS this season, we expect to see a nervy and potentially cagey encounter play out in Kansas on Sunday. However, the hosts have not fallen behind yet this season, going on to draw all three matches. We can envisage them holding onto a narrow lead this time around, which would make it four defeats from four for San Jose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
53.06% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57) 23.77% (0.127 0.13) 23.17% (0.444 0.44)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)47.27% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.5% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.244 -0.24)17.76% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (-0.42 -0.42)48.46% (0.417 0.42)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (0.35899999999999 0.36)34.7% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (0.38 0.38)71.43% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 53.06%
    San Jose Earthquakes 23.17%
    Draw 23.77%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Kansas vs Earthquakes

Sporting Kansas City
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 2.30am
Kansas
0-0
Earthquakes
 Kansas win 4-2 on penalties
Fontas (59')
Hoppe (55'), Skahan (80'), Judson (87')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
3-0
Earthquakes
Salloi (3'), Russell (42'), Thommy (69')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
3-0
Kansas
Espinoza (9'), Ebobisse (40' pen., 51')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
1-0
Earthquakes
Sweat (42'), Agade (45'), Fontas (88')
Beason (57'), Agren (90+1')
> Preview
May 23, 2022 12.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Kansas
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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