Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.