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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Chicago Fire

Orlando City
4 - 2
Chicago Fire

Torres (4', 60'), Muriel (20' pen.), Angulo (29')
Araujo (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Haile-Selassie (53' pen.), Cuypers (69')
Cuypers (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Orlando City
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire

Although both sides avoided defeat in their last game, it is Chicago Fire who have recently built up a head of steam. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to make it three MLS triumphs on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
50.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 25.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.052 0.05)45.97% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73% (0.049000000000003 0.05)68.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)18.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.050999999999995 0.05)49.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.019000000000002 0.02)68.72% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 50.86%
    Chicago Fire 25.22%
    Draw 23.92%
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Chicago Fire

Orlando City
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
Chicago Fire
44.4%
9
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-3
Orlando City
Pineda (47')
Gimenez (59'), Doumbia (71'), Shaqiri (74'), Pineda (76')
Cartagena (50'), Angulo (54'), Torres (68' pen.)
Schlegel (34'), Torres (55')
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Torres (38', 55' pen.), Enrique (75')
Jansson (35'), Dan Thor­halls­son (90+9')
Shaqiri (66' pen.)
Souquet (20'), Navarro (72')
Souquet (84')
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Chicago Fire
0-0
Orlando City
Herbers (12'), Navarro (63'), Duran (79'), Sekulic (81'), Gimenez (90+3')
Araujo (90'), Gallese (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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