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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Sporting Lisbon

Moreirense
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Santos (33'), Jorge (46'), Pasinato (73'), Martins (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Slimani (29'), Paulinho (39')
Ugarte (26'), Edwards (35'), Feddal (61'), Reis (87')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still licking their wounds from their Champions League exit, Sporting Lisbon visit the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Monday to face Moreirense as round 26 of the Primeira Liga comes to an end.

Os verdes e brancos, on the other hand, head into the game winless in each of the last 19 meetings between the sides since 2012 and will be seeking to snap this dire run.


Match preview

Moreirense players celebrate after Benfica's Gilberto scored an own goal and the first for them on January 15, 2022© Reuters

Moreirense failed to push clear of the relegation places as they fell to a 1-0 defeat for the second home game on the trot as Maritimo narrowly came out victorious when the sides locked horns last Sunday.

In a game where clear-cut chances were at a premium for both sides, Brazilian defender Matheus Costa scored on the half-hour mark to take his goal tally to four for the season and hand the visitors all three points.

Ricardo Sa Pinto's men, who have won just two games since the turn of the year, have now failed to taste victory in any of their last four games, managing just one draw and losing three while shipping eight goals and scoring one in that time.

This poor run has been down to their toothless display at the attacking end of the pitch where they have scored just six goals in their most recent eight games, with four coming in a 4-1 victory over fellow relegation battlers Belenenses on February 7.

Moreirense have won four, drawn eight and lost 13 of their 25 games so far to collect 20 points and sit 17th in the Primeira Liga standings, four points above rock-bottom Belenenses and two adrift of Arouca just outside the relegation paces.

While Os verdes e brancos will be looking to leapfrog the Arouquenses and move out of the drop zone, standing in their way is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat in any of the last 19 meetings between the teams, losing 12 and picking up seven draws since 2012.

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, after a humbling 5-0 defeat against Manchester City in the first leg of their Champions League round-of-16 clash, one would have expected another steamrolling as Sporting Lisbon jet out to the Etihad for the return leg last Wednesday.

However, manager Ruben Amorim will be impressed with his side's resilient and spirited display as they kept their heads high and held the English champions to a goalless draw.

The Leoes now turn their attention to the Primeira Liga where they are currently on a six-game unbeaten run, claiming two draws and four wins, including a 2-0 victory over Arouca last weekend.

With 61 points from 25 games, Sporting Lisbon are currently second in the league standings, three points above third-placed Benfica and six off rivals Porto at the top of the pile.

The Primeira Liga champions will now look to extend their dominance in the history of this fixture and complete a league double over Monday's hosts after grinding out a 1-0 victory back in October's reverse fixture courtesy of a 16th-minute strike from Sebastian Coates.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D


Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Islam Slimani celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Veteran midfielder Fabio Pacheco is once again available for selection after the 33-year-old missed the game against Maritimo last time out through a one-match suspension for receiving his marching orders versus Arouca on February 26.

While Walterson Silva made his return from a two-game injury lay-off against O Maior das Ilhas, Guinea-Bissau international Sori Mane continues his spell on the sidelines through a groin problem.

Sporting Lisbon, meanwhile, will have to make do with the absence of Portuguese star Pedro Goncalves, who suffered a muscle problem in February's game against Estoril Praia.

Fellow countryman Daniel Braganca is also out of contention for Amorim's side after the 22-year-old midfielder picked up an injury in the Taca de Portugal game against Porto on March 2.

Joao Palhinha, who has made 19 league appearances this season, adds to the Leoes midfield crisis as the 26-year-old is set to sit out his fifth consecutive game through injury.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Rosic, P Santos, Jorge; Jefferson, Camara, Lacerda, Amador; Y Santos, Luis, Martins

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Inacio, Neto, Feddal; Porro, Nunes, Ugarte, Reis; Paulinho, Slimani, Sarabia


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Fresh off the back of holding Manchester City to a goalless draw, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday's game in sky-high confidence. Looking at past results between the sides, and the gulf in class and quality in their squads, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to cruise to a comfortable win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon

Moreirense
9.1%
Draw
15.2%
Sporting Lisbon
75.8%
66
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Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal on February 20, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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