Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.08% | 21.18% | 60.73% |
Both teams to score 54.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.31% | 42.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.91% | 65.09% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% | 37.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% | 73.99% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% | 13.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.26% | 40.73% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.08% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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