National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
Gloucester City3 - 2Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banbury 1-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gloucester City | Draw | Southport |
51.45% ( -0.04) | 23.41% ( 0) | 25.13% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.19% ( 0.03) | 43.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.8% ( 0.02) | 66.2% ( -0.02) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.93% ( -0) | 17.07% ( 0.01) |