MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 21:55:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium

Gloucester City
3 - 2
Southport

McClure (42'), K (69'), Phillips (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Archer (6'), Carver (10')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banbury 1-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawSouthport
51.45% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 23.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (0.025999999999996 0.03)43.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)66.2% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.25% (0.012 0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.045000000000002 0.05)31.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.051000000000002 0.05)67.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 51.45%
    Southport 25.13%
    Draw 23.41%
Gloucester CityDrawSouthport
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 25.13%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Southport
2-2
Gloucester City
Carver (14' pen.), Woods (68')
McClure (9'), Young (28')
rhs 2.0
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