Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
32.7% (![]() | 24.85% (![]() | 42.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% (![]() | 45.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% (![]() | 68.03% (![]() |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% (![]() | 26.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% (![]() | 62.06% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% (![]() | 21.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% (![]() | 54.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.69% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 68 |
4 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 59 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 55 |
8 | Rochdale | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 52 |
9 | Eastleigh | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 28 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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