Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
52.04% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() | 25.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.7% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% (![]() | 15.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% (![]() | 44.58% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% (![]() | 29.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% (![]() | 65.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |