Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
52.04% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() | 25.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.7% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% (![]() | 15.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% (![]() | 44.58% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% (![]() | 29.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% (![]() | 65.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 68 |
4 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 59 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 55 |
8 | Rochdale | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 52 |
9 | Eastleigh | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 28 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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