Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.