We said: Solihull Moors 2-1 Hartlepool United
Solihull's recent form has been impressive, but the same cannot be said for Hartlepool, who have had a difficult start to the season. We are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon but believe that the home side will progress to the second round of the competition courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.