Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.