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Forest Green Rovers
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Oldham Athletic
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Southend United
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Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Notts County
National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 1
Dorking

Langstaff (18', 52'), Palmer (85')
Bajrami (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Prior (13')
McShane (75')
Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDorking Wanderers
85.22% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 9.92% (-0.0161 -0.02) 4.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.59% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)26.41% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.26% (-0.058 -0.06)46.73% (0.055 0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)4.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)17.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.07% (-0.126 -0.13)50.93% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.7% (-0.087 -0.09)85.29% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 85.21%
    Dorking Wanderers 4.85%
    Draw 9.92%
Notts CountyDrawDorking Wanderers
3-0 @ 11.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 8.97% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.66% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 2.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
7-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 85.21%
1-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 9.92%
1-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 4.85%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Dorking
3-1
Notts County
McShane (19', 90', 90+5')
Moore (16')
Scott (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165


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