Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.