Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
85.22% ( 0.04) | 9.92% ( -0.02) | 4.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( -0.05) | 26.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.26% ( -0.06) | 46.73% ( 0.05) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.73% ( -0.01) | 4.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.28% ( -0.01) | 17.71% ( 0) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.7% ( -0.09) | 85.29% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
3-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 85.21% | 1-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 9.92% | 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 4.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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