Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
68.72% ( -0.02) | 17.71% ( 0.01) | 13.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.56% ( 0) | 35.44% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.52% ( 0) | 57.48% ( -0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.63% ( -0) | 9.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.45% ( -0.01) | 31.54% ( 0.01) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% ( 0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% ( 0.02) | 75.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.72% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.71% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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