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Hartlepool United
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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
1 - 0
Wrexham

Langstaff (13')
Slocombe (60'), Langstaff (70'), Brindley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (61'), Lee (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Notts County 1-1 Wrexham

It is too difficult to split the two teams with them both in such good form and Notts County undefeated so far at Meadow Lane. As a result, we have this one as a draw, which would see Wrexham remain at the top of the National League table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
44.07% (-2.792 -2.79) 26.05% (0.591 0.59) 29.88% (2.204 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-1.246 -1.25)51.94% (1.248 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-1.087 -1.09)73.68% (1.091 1.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.819 -1.82)23.46% (1.823 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-2.714 -2.71)57.47% (2.717 2.72)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (1 1)31.78% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.132 1.13)68.21% (-1.128 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 44.07%
    Wrexham 29.88%
    Draw 26.05%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.635 0.64)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
48.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wrexham
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Apr 2, 2021 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165


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