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Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 35
Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
4 - 2
Dorking

Barrett (57'), Kretzschmar (70', 73' pen.), Allarakhia (77')
Henry (64'), Allarakhia (67'), Allarakhia (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barker (46' og.), Carter (54')
Cook (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Dorking Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim the spoils in this crucial relegation six-pointer, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they could end up playing out a draw at Grosvenor Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
49.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.31% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.88% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.439 0.44)41.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.44 0.44)64.27% (-0.443 -0.44)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.173 0.17)16.96% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.307 0.31)47.05% (-0.308 -0.31)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.27600000000001 0.28)28.77% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.34 0.34)64.61% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 49.81%
    Dorking Wanderers 26.88%
    Draw 23.3%
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.88%

How you voted: Wealdstone vs Dorking

Wealdstone
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
McShane (12'), Prior (28'), Taylor (35')
Craig (48'), Gallagher (57'), McShane (78')
Bowen (58')
Barker (8'), Mundle-Smith (70')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Wealdstone
2-2
Dorking
Hutchinson (3'), Clayden (48')
Gallagher (8'), Bowerman (39')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
Seager (21'), Ottaway (70'), Bowerman (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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