MX23RW : Thursday, March 20 19:31:00| >> :60:106:106:
Portugal national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Croatia national football team

Portugal
1 - 2
Croatia

Jota (48')
Cancelo (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modric (8' pen.), Budimir (56')
Budimir (40'), Brozovic (59'), Ivanusec (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Portugal and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Croatia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 3-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Portugal 2-1 Croatia

 Portugal are unbeaten in their seven previous games with Croatia, and we are expecting that run to be extended this weekend. Three of Portugal's last four wins over Croatia have been by the odd goal, and we are predicting a narrow success for Martinez's team in this glamour international friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
PortugalDrawCroatia
64.61% (0.116 0.12) 19.22% (0.232 0.23) 16.16% (-0.355 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-1.74 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.98% (-1.858 -1.86)37.02% (1.852 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.79% (-2.038 -2.04)59.21% (2.032 2.03)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (-0.506 -0.51)10.8% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.15% (-1.127 -1.13)34.85% (1.121 1.12)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (-1.582 -1.58)36% (1.575 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (-1.649 -1.65)72.78% (1.642 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 64.61%
    Croatia 16.16%
    Draw 19.22%
PortugalDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.469 0.47)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.593 0.59)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.14% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 64.61%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.341 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.22%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.16%

How you voted: Portugal vs Croatia

Portugal
72.6%
Draw
13.7%
Croatia
13.7%
248
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
2-3
Portugal
Kovacic (29', 65')
Rog (23'), Perisic (57')
Rog (51')
Dias (52', 90'), Felix (60')
Ronaldo (54')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Portugal
4-1
Croatia
Cancelo (41'), Jota (58'), Felix (70'), Silva (90+5')
Petkovic (90+1')
Jedvaj (60'), Barisic (71')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2020 6.30pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
P-P
Portugal
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Portugal
1-1
Croatia
Pepe (32')
Carvalho (72')
Perisic (18')
Perisic (30'), Kovacic (42')
Jun 25, 2016 8pm
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0-1
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Carvalho (78')
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